Analysis (part 2)

My analysis in most cases will not include either the Inner City campus or the Bannatyne campus. Here's why:

1. Student life on those two campus' is something I know very little about. I'm not going to pretend to be able to understand how they vote.
2. Here are the total vote numbers from those two campuses.
• Inner-city: 0 votes (at a cost of $216 to run the poll).
• Bannatyne campus: 9 votes (at a cost of $648, or $72 per vote).
  

Where did Students United draw their support?

I predicted Students United would win the election and would garner 55% of the popular vote. They beat that by about 10-15 points, taking votes that I thought would be spread across the other two slates.

Poll (SU)	Pres	VPA	VPI	VPE	VPSS
Pemb. Hall	83.4%	89.3%	84.8%	83.4%	92.3%
Fl. Arg.	72.1%	80.0%	77.9%	75.5%	73.4%
U. Coll.	67.9%	74.5%	70.0%	70.0%	72.5%
Fr. Kennedy	63.6%	72.6%	70.3%	65.8%	68.4%
U. Centre	62.5%	72.3%	69.0%	69.8%	66.5%
Armes	58.7%	67.6%	65.3%	63.4%	64.9%
Drake	55.4%	54.9%	59.6%	53.8%	48.4%
Agriculture	42.1%	57.1%	55.9%	52.8%	43.2%

Their level of support was, on the one hand peculiar given last year's results (which I will address in part 3,) and on the other hand deserved given their hard work at campaigning.

I predicted they would do well in all residences, Arts, Science, Kinesiology and Recreation Management and Social Work. I was accurate in most cases, although their showing in Science was, relative to their performance in other faculties, poorer than I expected.

In particular, look at Sid Rashid's results in Pembina Hall: 92.3%. Residence students always vote in larger proportions than commuting students, and they like to support other residence students. And given Rashid's charisma, it's not surprising that they backed him.

Astute readers will recall my describing Mitch Tripple as a campaigning whirlwind. Perhaps as a result of his efforts, he beat his slate mates by about two to eight percentage points at most polling stations, an exception being at Drake, where his opponent was campaigning heavily.

Where did Clean Slate draw their support?

I foresaw Clean Slate winning a quarter of the vote, with substantial support in Management and Engineering. It's hard to tell where Engineers voted, but they probably turned up mostly at University Centre and Science.

Because the Regressive Conservatives cut into Clean Slate support, I'm going to display two tables: one for positions with three-way competition, and one for positions with only a two-way race.

The three-way races:

Poll (CS)	Pres	VPSS
Agriculture	44.7%	35.1%
Armes	33.1%	27.2%
Drake	27.2%	30.5%
U. Centre	25.4%	23.1%
Fr. Kennedy	24.7%	21.1%
Fl. Arg.	21.4%	18.2%
U. Coll.	18.9%	15.7%
Pemb. Hall	13.4%	6.3%

And the two-way races:

Poll (CS)	VPA	VPI	VPE
Drake	45.1%	40.4%	46.2%
Agriculture	42.9%	44.1%	47.2%
Armes	32.4%	34.7%	36.6%
U. Centre	27.7%	31.0%	30.2%
Fr. Kennedy	27.4%	29.7%	34.2%
U. Coll.	25.5%	30.0%	30.0%
Fl. Arg.	20.0%	22.1%	24.5%
Pemb. Hall	10.7%	15.2%	16.6%

Clean Slate had a strong showing at Drake and in Agriculture. Their better-than-expected showing in Science was probably due in part to Troy Unrau being a student in the FEER.