Friday, March 7, 2008

Numbers from last year

Special thanks to a source who sent me last year's election totals by polling booth. I've crunched the numbers and sorted them according to the proportion of "Yes" cast relative to the "No" votes cast. Keep in mind that the Sran slate received, on average, about 74% "Yes" votes and 26% "No" votes (I'm factoring out the impact of spoiled ballots.)

So, from highest to lowest:

POLL YES NO
Drake (Mgmt) 80.6% 19.4%
U. College 80.0% 20.0%
Bannatyne 79.1% 20.9%
Armes (Science) 78.2% 21.8%
Flet. Arg. (Arts) 76.6% 23.4%
UC (2 booths) 71.1% 28.9%
F. Kennedy 66.2% 33.8%
Inner City 63.8% 36.2%
Agriculture 58.5% 41.5%

Well this is interesting. The most supportive voters showed up at the polling booth nearest to students in the Faculty of Management. This would defy conventional logic - don't management students lean to the right? But the Sran slate's Vice-President (Internal) candidate was a student in Management. And this year, the only candidate running for any slate from Management is part of... Students United! Leanne Rajotte is pursuing a Bachelor of Commerce with a major in Supply Chain Management and Logistics (whatever that is.) It's also true that Management students rejected a proposed tuition increase in 2003, so maybe they're not so uniformly right-leaning.

So will we see a left-leaning slate pull out the win in (arguably, but arguably not at all) one of the university's most right-leaning schools? Personally, I don't think so. Last year's candidate from Management was a well-known member of the Commerce Students' Association Council, while Rajotte is not on Council at all. Also, voting in a "Yes"/"No" election is a different situation than an election with multiple slates.

Also of note is the importance of the aggie vote. Since the Faculty of Agriculture has a larger-relative-to-other-faculties proportion of students from rural Manitoba, and since individuals from rural areas trend to the right, one might expect the aggies to be critical of left-leaning slates. And last year, they certainly were - no faculty voted "No" in higher proportions.

The Inner City campus also voted "No" in high proportions. What you don't see here is that this campus also spoiled a proportionally high number of ballots. I'm not sure what to make of that.

Voting just ended by my clock. The waiting begins.

3 comments:

red_ranger said...

Too bad there was no voting booth in Engineering, I would have loved to see those numbers. The UMSU election was a week or two after the Engineering tuition referendum, and a lot of students vere still very angry at UMSU.

the silent platform said...

come on... the suspense is killing me!!!

brian said...

I am not sure we need our own voting booth. We only have about 1000 students and are closer to U. Centre than a lot of other places are to their nearest voting booth, so it would probably be a waste of money to pay the poll clerks. There are probably places that would need one more than us. But I have to admit that it might be an interesting statistic, particularly as Clean Slate were the only ones I saw campaigning in engineering (although Ben seemed to have trouble getting his head around the concept of me both being an engineering student and voting Students United).